Each week former SurvivorNZ player Shannon Quinn and Survivor superfan Ryan Brink will go head to head ranking each players likelihood of being voted out in the next episode from safest to most in danger.
The Rulebook: To play this game and for those of you following along, we will be using the traditional Gordon Holmes Power Rankings system to determine the winner. The ranking of the person who is voted out of the next episode will determine the number of points the players will earn.
Note:We rank our players from who we believe is least likely to most likely to be sent home that episode. These are not ranking of who we believe is going to win.
Current standings after Week 1. Josefien was eliminated.
Ryan – 13 Points
Shannon – 12 Points
SHANNON: I have chosen to take all initial alliances with a grain of salt. The alliances made on day 1 are often just made out of desperation, in an effort to feel a small amount of security… Once that’s out of the way is when you can really start sizing up your options. So my placings may have some seemingly ‘safe’ players rather low… we’ll see how that turns out!
As Matt would say: “This is hard yakka!”
Even though he seems to have already gained a bit of a target on his back; I still don’t think he’ll be going anywhere anytime soon. He’s the biggest challenge beast, SURELY they wouldn’t throw that away just yet. (Oh wait…).
Eve seems like she could easily fly under everyone’s radar all the way to the merge, then come out fighting and kick some butt all the way to the end.
He seems to be pretty clued in on what’s going on in the tribe, hasn’t been on anyone’s radar just yet and now his tribe will need their physical players more than ever. (But mostly I’m just hanging out for the Dave + Matt reunion).
Renee appears very level headed, found herself on the right side of the vote, performs well in challenges… She shouldn’t be the top of any of her tribe mate’s lists.
Josh is still sitting pretty, I don’t remember hearing much from him in the last episode… I think he’s just flying low at this point, which could actually be quite a good thing for him. He’s just got to be wary of being too involved in the blossoming bromance.
He seems super easy-going, nifty around camp and also has an incredible hat. It will be interesting to see where he goes when an alliance is necessary (at the moment I think he’s just hanging out). But for this week I think he’ll be safe.
Apparently the mastermind behind the first elimination. Whether it was a wise move or not remains to be seen, but he’s obviously garnered a bit of influence within the tribe and I think it’ll keep him safe for now.
So much airtime! I felt like she was Khang Khaw’s designated narrator, but I’m not sure if that’s a good thing for her just yet… (But it may have influenced my placing this week) I was impressed with her last episode though. But she could potentially be the first one eliminated if the rest of the tribe target the 3 amibros.
Arun is smart enough to know when he needs to step back from being a leader and hide in the shadows a little bit more, which is why I think he’s still safe. But he was left in the dark at the last tribal council… He’ll need to commit to a strategy next week and find an alliance he can work with.
Everybody loves a good camp mum! Extra points for the fire starting. Everyone seems to really love Tara; I think she would be a great, reliable number to have on your side. I see her sticking around for awhile yet.
Dylan wasted no time in forming a nice little alliance, made it look easy in fact! But the real test of his skills is how well that alliance will hold when the time comes. Getting chosen last in school-yard pick can definitely have some advantages if you play it right, but it also gives the tribe an easy target if they need one.
I love a good scrapper! Kaysha has already shown that she can be a force to be reckoned with in challenges. But I’m still unsure of her social game, the only player we’ve seen her talking strategy to so far is Dylan and I don’t know if that will be enough.
MORE CONFESSIONALS FROM LISA PLEASE. A very intelligent player, has the potential to influence the less game-savvy players around her – But still at risk of being seen as a weak link if Khang Khaw start dropping challenges.
I love Adam’s strategy; ‘conserve as much energy as possible by doing nothing around camp and hope no one notices’. I’m just not sure his tribe will love it quite as much if they ever realise…
Franky is an enigma for me, I can’t quite decide where to put her… She’s playing a stronger game than I expected and has performed well in most challenges, but she clearly takes a dive next episode. (Could it be the lack of shelter? Or possibly the luke-warm, uncooked rice perhaps??) Going down sick this early in the game could make you a big liability if you don’t bounce back quick enough.
Karla is still in a dangerous position. She was obviously in the majority vote at tribal, but members of her tribe have already singled her out as a weaker player and she’s definitely on the tribe’s radar at this point. If Chani continue on a losing streak she could very easily be on the chopping block.
OH LIAM! “We’re just one big alliance…” You’re also on Survivor! Jose was a prime example that it takes more than being athletic to stay in this game, Liam’s naivety will be the death of him. I hope you at least get to go and party on Bangla Road before you get sent packing.
Chani: *loses first 2 challenges… Let’s vote out one of our strongest players and see if that helps?? In saying that, Jose became a very obvious leader on day one and didn’t step back from that role as quickly as she should’ve. Gutted to see you go either way Jos, Yos, Jose, Josefien ❤
RYAN: Week 1 of Survivor New Zealand was terrific. From challenges that were epic to players who were ready to play. The elimination of Josefien signals to me that the season 1 rule book has been thrown out the window and that these players are hear to play hard. Check out my recap with Sala below.
Eve was a standout player for me during Episode 1. She was shown having strategic conversations with multiple people and formed a 5 person majority alliance. Her use of quotation marks to emphasis Jose was the leader was the perfect combination of cynically scepticism I want in my Survivor players.
Kaysha! I think one of my early favourites this season. She showed she was a scrapper in the epic mud rugby challenge and continued to show her strategic prowess by making a secret strategic alliance with Dylan. I think she is incredibly well placed at present to swing where ever the numbers fall.
Dave exceeded my expectations night one. He came across measured, was open to alliances and strategic conversations and most importantly did not come across like the leader. Now lines have been drawn and Jose has been eliminated whether a leadership Vacuum will create a void that Dave may look to fill as top Dog. I hope not.
JT stays at 4 for me this week. He was the catalyst from opening up strategic conversations and locked in a core majority that should be able to make its way through the next few votes. JT is exactly what the second season of Survivor New Zealand needed. Someone who was willing to accelerate the game to a new level and take out obvious threats. Not just hold hands and sing Kumbaya at tribal. Well done JT!
Honestly I did not see enough of Renee to make a real comment. She voted in the majority which is a plus. Being under the radar early is not a bad strategy at all.
Oh Tess! Where did they find you? Narrated the first episode for Khangkhaw. I actually love that she has not seen Survivor and the contrast that created with Lisa. Tess dominated our screens with the most confessionals in the episode. If the advert for next week is alluding to some kind of moral dilemma i’m excited to watch and see how she plays it!
I had no idea where to place the Three Amibros so i’ve put them all together at 7, 8 and 9.
Strong in the challenges and in my opinion picked a considerably stronger tribe. I love that Matt did not pick Dave and they have gone their seperate ways. This could be some crazy reconnection at some point down the track.
After 1 night watching Survivor New Zealand I have no idea of what to think of Josh. I still think he is a potential winner of the season, but I was concerned by the obvious leadership role he comfortably fell into.
Brad is a beast in challenges and is going to be hard to beat. Apart from owning a shocking Hat, their is not a lot to say on Brad so far. If the Dylan/Kaysha alliance does not come together he should be fine. One to watch!
Arun acknowledged that he may come across like a leader so consciously took a step back. That is a major tick. He also looked for an idol and was seemingly in an alliance with JT, another tick. My big question is did Arun vote for Karla as a split vote or was he left out of the vote? The edit allude to any of this.
Last one picked. We’ve all been there Dylan! He handled it really well and has formed a relationship with Kaysha. I still think the concern may be if Khangkhaw go to tribal, Dylan needs 5 people. He is still going to need to work to convince the others to side with him over the Three Amibros.
How brilliant is Lisa! Super switched on, knows this game like the back of her hand and is already looking for idols. Lisa was brilliant TV and I’m hoping she can continue to play the sneaky sneaky game a lot longer.
#SurvivorMum Tara seems like a great person around camp and seems to want to be the Mum of their tribe. But as much as kids love their Mum, they don’t always want Mum around. If Tara makes the merge she could go super far.
I only have Franky this low as it was shown during the preview that she was possibly unwell and I fear a medical evacuation. I hope not as Franky showed she was great in challenges, good in confessionals and definitely one of the players to watch this season.
Love Adam! What an absolute riot! But i’m worried his strategy of not helping could come back to bite him big time. I’m also unsure who he is aligned with? Time will tell, but I hope he stays longer.
Karla fell into the dreaded odd one out category. Cutting her fingers with the machete was symbolic of her week. If she is to stay in the game, she is going to need to find people to work with quickly!
Liam was such fun TV, but clueless about Survivor. He had no idea about any strategical conversations going on at camp and considered his tribe of 9 people in a 9 person alliance. Ugh… Wha! I will give SurvivorNZ casting a big tick for selecting Liam. He is the potentially loveable, Eric Reichenbach goof-ball we needed on this season and it was hilarious television. I hope he can last a little longer.
Dead to us – Jos! Such a big character in the first episode. Check out her thoughts in our exit interview