Each week former SurvivorNZ player Shannon Quinn and Survivor superfan Ryan Brink will go head to head ranking each players likelihood of being voted out in the next episode from safest to most in danger.
The Rulebook: To play this game and for those of you following along, we will be using the traditional Gordon Holmes Power Rankings system to determine the winner. The ranking of the person who is voted out of the next episode will determine the number of points the players will earn.
Note:We rank our players from who we believe is least likely to most likely to be sent home that episode. These are not ranking of who we believe is going to win.
Current standings after Week 5. Josh was eliminated.
Shannon – 78 Points
Ryan – 73 Points
Still Top of the Pops for me this week. Dynamics haven’t changed back at Khang Khaw camp so Tess still holds a lot of power without being ‘leader’. Josh going didn’t work in her favour, but that’s a problem for future Tess…
Brad’s facials this week gave me LIFE, I’ve never seen coffee and pizza (or lack there of) affect someone so dramatically. He definitely proved in the challenge that he’s part fish and will be a huge threat when the merge rolls around, but I don’t think he’ll be taken out any time soon.
If Dave can gain Matt’s trust back (and still keep their friendship a secret) then he will be in a pretty powerful position this week. He should be wary of making it too obvious he wants to keep him though….
I’m pretty sure that Arun will be awarded most of the blame for the Josh take-down, so even though (I think) he’s safe for now, that may come back to bite him later. But he seems to be a smart player and willing to make the big moves so I think he’ll play his cards pretty well to keep him in a good position.
It kind of seems like there’s no possible way that Lisa DOESN’T make it to the merge, her game is so subtle that she’s almost non-existent – but I’m betting that’s exactly where she wants to be. I’m still unsure of where she will end up in the long game and how she will fight her way up from the bottom of strong alliances, but for now she looks super-duper safe.
I’m really liking Renee’s gameplay this week! She kept a very level head and pulled the boys back in line when they were forgetting the purpose of their vote. Having Dylan join their numbers worked well for her because she can hide away for a bit longer.
Tara becoming so emotional following losing the outpost challenge I think shows that the stress and hunger are really starting to be felt, I think we’ll see a lot more of that moving forward. She still clearly has great relationships within her alliance and us well trusted, I hope she’s not being taken home this week!!
Matt didn’t really seem to open up too much to Dave when he first arrived, maybe they’re not QUITE as tight as I expected them to be… And they likely will be even less so after that betrayal! Matt’s name was getting thrown around a lot so he’s definitely a potential next target, Dave won’t be able to keep him safe forever…. Unless he flips??
Dylan made a great choice in eliminating one of the big guns of the game, but I still don’t feel like he’s safe. He’s definitely in a much better position now than ever before, but he’s got a reputation of being sneaky and I think he’ll only be part of an alliance for as long as they need the numbers – then either side will probably lose him pretty quick. Have not lost faith that he will find something to work to his advantage though!
I don’t see the possibility of swaying anyone into Eve and JT’s alliance of 2… It also seems clear that she’s not going to jump ship any time soon…. So things are looking pretty grim. At least she has one human shield to hide behind, other than that she’ll need to pray the merge comes quickly.
The way things have turned, I’d say Adam’s days are numbered… Not sure what sort of strategy he’ll play now other than the usual “don’t trust Dylan, I hate him”, but I think he’ll need to do more than that to stay in the game.
Maintaining his least desirable spot from last week. Still target #1 if they head to tribal and hasn’t looked to be able to sway anyone to their cause… His situation actually looks even worse to me now because after seeing Josh go, old Khang Khaw will be even more desperate to be rid of him.
RYAN: Week 6 Recap
Three in a row for Tess. We did not see a lot from Tess this week, but she is sitting comfortably at KK in the majority. Nothing more to add. Dominant right now.
Dave is in a unique position of having his core alliance + his unknown friendship with Matt. I don’t see any scenario where Dave is the next target. My biggest concern for Dave is how much does he look to protect Matt moving forward. At this point it might be worth cutting your friendship loose.
I said it last week and i’ll say it again – Lisa has demonstrated that she is clearly one of the best social players in this game. She keeps building social relationships and is in a strong position moving forward. I’m really fascinated to see if she flirts with the idea of using JT or Eve in some way.
Even without Coffee Brad is one of the most dominant players remaining in this game. He lost his main ally in Josh, but this could work to his advantage long term. He still has a tight 4 + 2 people in Lisa and Tara who are open to working with him. Oh and a hidden immunity idol. Brad is going nowhere.
Such a snake, and i’m loving it. Arun is playing his game ruthlessly at this point and has really stepped outside the JT shadow that covered him early in the game. Now seen as the leader of the Chani resistance, Arun is in a strong position to make the easy decision of targeting Matt or Adam at the next vote.
#6 Renee: (SNAKE OF THE WEEK)
#ReeRee (thanks Lynda) had her breakout episode last week. She is in a strong position within the Chani 3 + Dylan. She was seen chatting with old KK members as well. Winning the outpost and being brutal by taking the tarp and coffee shows she is here to play to win. The only girl left on Chani is proving to be the king pin of her tribe.
Tara had a moment after losing the outpost challenge. Tara is absolutely lovely, but I think she is way out of her depth in the cut throat game of Survivor. In saying that, there is absolutely no reason to vote her out any time soon.
Dylan finally found his people this week in the Chani 3. He was influential in throwing the challenge and getting out one of the biggest threats in the game Josh. I’m interested to see how he progresses with the Chani 3 this week and potentially to the merge. He should be safe this week.
With JT Eve remains the odd one out on Khangkhaw. I think JT is the next target, so her best hope is that they keep winning immunity challenges and hope she can make the merge before it’s too late.
Adam found himself in a difficult position last week. He trusted in the Chani 3 who did not repay the faith. He is social enough and not deemed an outright threat that he should at least have Matt as a buffer in front of him. Dave’s influence on the tribe will be telling if he is safe or not this week.
Danger time for Matt. How strong is that connection with Dave now. His biggest hope will be that KhangKhaw throw the next challenge to keep him safe. Through no real fault of his own, the numbers have shifted and he now has a giant target on his back. Time to scramble!
Oh JT! You are stuck in a horrible spot. Great player this season but this swap has killed you. There is no doubt in my mind if KhangKhaw lose you are gone. There is no need even for the post immunity lose chatter, head straight to tribal council, collect your torch, you will be snuffed!
Dead to us – Josh